Wed, 29 Nov 2023

Top Zelensky aide questions Ukraine's 'survival
20 Nov 2023, 04:13 GMT+10

Mikhail Podoliak doubts his country has any future without a total victory over Russia

A senior aide to Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky claimed in an interview with Ukraine's Channel 24 television station on Friday that Kiev must seize all territories lost to Russia, including the Crimean Peninsula, or risk disappearing from the world's map.

The aide, Mikhail Podoliak, opined that failure to push back Russian troops from the territory Kiev claims as its own could become a breaking point for the country. "Do we have an endgame in which we do not enter Crimea and which would clearly indicate that Ukraine has a historical perspective?" he asked.

According to Podoliak, the same concerns apply to the four other regions - the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics, as well as Kherson and Zaporozhye Regions - that overwhelmingly voted to join Russia last autumn. "Do we have even a single chance to survive in historical terms for another ten to 15 years?" the official added.

Podoliak also believes that Russia's victory would be a significant setback for the West as it would "not be able to claim global leadership" while its "autocratic" rivals would have free reign to attack other territories. He also admitted that "the war is unpopular" in Ukraine but rejected any peace engagement with Russia, insisting that Moscow wants to "subjugate" Kiev.

Russian officials have repeatedly said they have never closed the door to talks with their Ukrainian counterparts.

Podoliak also attempted to justify unfulfilled predictions that Ukraine would seize Crimea during the past summer, noting that this assessment was based on an analysis of how many arms Kiev would receive from its Western backers and the impact of sanctions on Russia. According to the official, however, many Western companies remained in the Russian market, allowing the country's government to receive "high taxes" and use this money to fund its military campaign.

Ukraine's eventual takeover of Crimea was predicted twice this year by Ukrainian intelligence chief Kirill Budanov - first in the spring and later in the summer amid Kiev's counteroffensive. Moscow has warned it would use "any weapon" in response to a potential Ukrainian attack on the peninsula.

Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu said last month that Kiev "is losing" while being unable to make any substantial progress on the battlefield. He also estimated Kiev's losses at more than 90,000 service members since the start of the counteroffensive in early June.


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